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No, you won't!
Muse #210 - some things are more BS than others
I read a quote today which said:
“Aim for the moon. If you miss, you may hit a star” — W. Clement Stone.
And my response to it is “No you won’t” - this is more of a cliche than quote-worthy.
I get it. What Clement Stone is trying to say. Be ambitious. Do something. And something will happen. But that is misleading since there are two ways of doing things - one is doing things blindly, the other is to do something where there is at least a chance of something happening. We mix up probabilities, possibilities, and plausibilities. While anything is plausible, it might not be probable.
But, if you aim for something as big as the moon and miss, the probability of hitting a star is closer to none. You probably have a better chance of hitting one of Elon Musk’s 30,000 Starlink satellites in the sky. He has created more space clutter than anyone else, but that is for another day.
And also, it depends on what are you aiming and shooting with. If all you got is some fireworks rocket, you have an outside plausibility of hitting a bird one time. Nothing more.
To 1st Jan 2050: 11,363 days to go.